Valuation models
LPI swaps and inflation swaptions
UK limited price indexation swaps with inflation floored and capped each year, by a Black product of collars or Jarrow-Yildirim simulation, and European options on forward-starting zero-coupon inflation swaps by Black, Bachelier or Jarrow-Yildirim.
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Methodology
Conventions
- LPI grows each year by inflation floored and capped (0% and 5% for UK pensions), swapped at maturity for (1 + K)^T − 1.
- Black: independent lognormal yearly ratios, so the expected LPI is a product of collars. Jarrow-Yildirim: correlated ratios, simulated exactly.
References
- Kenyon (2008), Inflation is Normal
- Mercurio (2005), Pricing Inflation-Indexed Derivatives
- Jarrow and Yildirim (2003), Pricing TIPS and related derivatives, JFQA
Formulas
- LPI
- LPI(T)/LPI(0) = Π min(max(I(tᵢ)/I(tᵢ₋₁), 1 + f), 1 + c)
- Value
- V = N D(T) (E[LPI(T)/LPI(0)] − (1 + K)^T)