Valuation models

Mortgage pass-throughs

Monthly cash flows under PSA, constant CPR or a rate-driven refinancing model on Hull-White paths, OAS from a price, the borrowers' option cost, effective duration and negative convexity, and average life.

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Methodology

Conventions

  • Monthly level-pay mortgages; the holder gets the net coupon, scheduled principal and prepayments after the delay.
  • Rate-driven prepayments run on Hull-White paths fitted to the curve: turnover plus a refinancing S-curve in WAC minus the path's mortgage rate.
  • Effective duration and convexity from 25bp parallel moves, OAS held, prepayments re-projected.
  • An ARM pool's coupon resets to the path's 1-year rate plus the margin, within the periodic and lifetime caps.

References

  • Fabozzi, The Handbook of Mortgage-Backed Securities

Formulas

SMM
SMM = 1 − (1 − CPR)^(1/12)
Price
P = Σ E[CFₘ Dₘ] e^(−OAS tₘ)
Option cost
OAS(σ = 0) − OAS