Valuation models

Autocallables, reverse convertibles and cliquets

Autocallables with memory coupons and protection barriers, barrier reverse convertibles and cliquets, by Monte Carlo under Dupire local volatility, with autocall and coupon probabilities, expected life, chance of loss, delta and vega.

Inputs

Results

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Methodology

Conventions

  • Paths under Dupire local vol from the surface (or a flat vol), weekly steps plus every observation date, half antithetic.
  • Levels are relative to the initial fixing; the issuer's credit is not priced.

References

  • Gatheral, The Volatility Surface
  • Bouzoubaa and Osseiran, Exotic Options and Hybrids

Formulas

Dynamics
d ln S = (r − q − ½σ²) dt + σ_loc(t, S) dW
Autocall
S(tᵢ) ≥ B·S₀ ⇒ N (1 + c τᵢ) at tᵢ