Core Path · L4.6.10

Long-term guarantee measures and transitionals

12 minSolvency IIMatching adjustmentVolatility adjustmentTransitional measuresLTG

By the end you will be able to

  1. 1State the conditions for the matching adjustment and compute it from a spread and a fundamental spread.
  2. 2Compute the volatility adjustment today and from 30 January 2027, and its effect on the best estimate and own funds.
  3. 3Explain the transitional measures on the risk-free rate and on technical provisions, and their run-off to 2032.
  4. 4Say what the ORSA and the SFCR must show for an insurer using these measures, and what changes from 2027.

Why it matters

A life insurer holds bonds to pay annuities over thirty years. When credit spreads widen, the bonds fall in value at once, but the annuities are still paid from the same coupons. Under pure market-consistent valuation (L4.6.02: Market-consistent valuation and the risk-free curve) own funds would swing with every spread move. The long-term guarantee measures are the rules that let the liability side move too. On RiskAtoms Insurance SE they are worth from €531.8m to €1,303.7m of own funds, and the book uses none of them.

Core explanation

Three ways to lift the discount rate, and two that run out

Illustrative dataRiskAtoms Insurance SE, under the rules

The same made-up composite insurer as M3.8: Insurance risk, in € millions at 31 December 2025. Its booked figures stand: own funds €9,300m, a Solvency Capital Requirement of €5,000m, a ratio of 186%. L4.6.05: The standard formula: structure rebuilt the standard formula article by article; where Level 3 stated a figure or used its own cat model, the “rules in outline” view computes the formula instead (SCR €5,155.9m, ratio 180.4%). The book applies no long-term guarantee measure, no transitional and no internal model. Every what-if on this page is labelled, holds the deferred-tax adjustment at the book's 19.4% of BSCR plus operational risk, and is before tax. Every policy, bond, treaty and counterparty is invented.

Added here. An illustrative risk-corrected spread of 30bp for the VA (EIOPA's published figures were not used), the MA spreads of L3.8.11: Insurer asset-liability management (spread 1.20%, fundamental spread 0.45%), and an illustrative extrapolated curve. Each measure revalues the best estimates only; its effect on the SCR is not modelled. illustrative

The matching adjustment

The matching adjustment is for business the insurer can hold to maturity without being forced to sell. Art 77b(1) asks for a portfolio of bonds and similar assets assigned to the obligations, kept separate from the rest of the business, whose fixed cash flows replicate the liabilities' in the same currency. The liabilities may carry no future premiums, only longevity, expense, revision and mortality risk (with a mortality stress raising the best estimate by no more than 5%), and no option except a limited surrender option. Annuities in payment fit; Level 1's promise that annuities have “special rules” (L1.3.04: Annuities and perpetuities) is this one.

The adjustment is the assets' spread less the fundamental spread (Art 77c), which may not be below 30% of the long-term average spread for exposures to Member States' central governments and central banks or 35% for others. On the book's annuities: 120bp − 45bp = 75bp, which cuts their best estimate from €19,928.3m to €18,624.6m. A firm that breaks the conditions and cannot restore them within two months loses the MA on all its business for a further 24 months (Art 77b(2)). And the MA cannot be combined with the VA or the transitional on rates for the same obligations (Art 77b(3)).

The volatility adjustment, today and from 2027

The volatility adjustment needs no ring-fence. Until 29 January 2027 it is 65% of the risk-corrected spread of a reference portfolio per currency, with a country increase in some cases (Art 77d(3)–(4)); EIOPA publishes it with the risk-free curves. On 30bp that is 19.5bp, which lowers the book's best estimate of €50,921.6m by €531.8m.

From 30 January 2027 the review replaces the formula with 85% × CSSR × RCS (Art 77d(3) as amended), adds a macro-economic component for countries whose spreads move far from the currency's, lets supervisors stop a firm applying the VA, and allows an approved undertaking-specific adjustment to the spread capped at 105%. The book's bonds move almost as much with spreads as its best estimate does with rates: CSSR 0.975. So on the same spread the 2027 VA is 24.9bp and worth €674.2m.

Sort itMA, VA or transitional?

Sort each feature into the measure it belongs to.

  • Needs a ring-fenced portfolio whose fixed asset cash flows replicate the liabilities.

  • Liabilities may carry no future premiums, and no policyholder option other than a limited surrender option.

  • From 2027 it is scaled by how far the insurer's own assets move with spreads.

  • Today it is 65% of the risk-corrected spread of a reference portfolio, the same for every insurer in the currency.

  • Falls linearly at each year end, from 100% in 2016 to nothing on 1 January 2032.

  • Applies only to contracts concluded before 1 January 2016, with prior approval.

Transitionals and extrapolation

Two measures smoothed the move from Solvency I in 2016. The transitional on the risk-free rate (Art 308c) and the transitional on technical provisions (Art 308d) need prior approval, apply only to business written before 2016, and fall linearly at each year end to nil on 1 January 2032. During 2025 43.75% of the original deduction remains; during 2027, 31.25%. A firm that would fail its SCR without them reports each year on how it will comply by the end. The book has none: No transitional: the book has no Solvency I provisions, and its Solvency II provisions are below its IFRS ones.

Extrapolation is the third LTG measure: beyond the last liquid point (20 years for the euro) the curve is drawn towards the ultimate forward rate, 3.30% for 2026 and kept at that level for 2027 (EIOPA, 30 March 2026). L4.6.02: Market-consistent valuation and the risk-free curve built it; on the book, an illustrative Smith–Wilson curve moves own funds by €12.3m against Level 3's flat curve, and the 2027 method by €8.1m more. The book's cash flows are short enough that the tail matters little.

The formal version

Each measure adds to the discount rate, so its effect is a present value at a higher rate (M-A05: The number e and continuous growth). Directive Arts 77a–77d and 308c–308d.

MA=sassets−FS,FS≥30% (govts), 35% (other)×LTASVAtoday=65%×RCS,VA2027=85%×CSSR×RCS,  0≤CSSR≤1ΔOF=−ΔBE≈BE (1−e−D⋅adj)fˉh=ω+(LLFR−ω) 1−e−αhαh,ω=ln⁡(1+UFR)s(y)=2032−y16,2016≤y≤2032\begin{aligned} \text{MA} &= s_{\text{assets}} - \text{FS}, \qquad \text{FS} \ge 30\%\ (\text{govts}),\ 35\%\ (\text{other}) \times \text{LTAS} \\ \text{VA}_{\text{today}} &= 65\% \times \text{RCS}, \qquad \text{VA}_{2027} = 85\% \times \text{CSSR} \times \text{RCS},\ \ 0 \le \text{CSSR} \le 1 \\ \Delta\text{OF} &= -\Delta\text{BE} \approx \text{BE}\,\big(1 - e^{-D \cdot \text{adj}}\big) \\ \bar f_h &= \omega + (\text{LLFR} - \omega)\,\frac{1 - e^{-\alpha h}}{\alpha h}, \qquad \omega = \ln(1 + \text{UFR}) \\ s(y) &= \frac{2032 - y}{16}, \qquad 2016 \le y \le 2032 \end{aligned}
  • sassetss_{\text{assets}} is the MA portfolio's spread, FS the fundamental spread, LTAS the long-term average spread; RCS the risk-corrected spread; DD the best estimate's modified duration (5.48 years on the book).
  • fˉh\bar f_h is the average forward hh years past the first smoothing point (20 years), LLFR its last liquid forward and αα the convergence speed: 20% in 2027 falling to 11% from 2032 (Delegated Regulation 2026/269 Art 46a). With UFR 3.30%, ω=3.247%\omega = 3.247\%. The UFR's weight 40 years on, 1 − (1 − e^(−40α))/(40α), is 87.50% in 2027 and 77.55% from 2032, above the 77.5% floor of the amended Art 77a.
  • s(y)s(y) is the share of the transitional measures still applicable during year yy. The book discounts annually, so the e-form is an approximation.

Try it

Switch one measure on and move the spread. The ORSA must show compliance with and without the measure (Art 45(2a)), so both ratios sit side by side.

Try itOne measure on, then off again

Measure

VA today = 65% × spread = 19.5bp. From 2027 = 85% × CSSR 0.975 × spread = 24.9bp.

Adjustment to the discount rate19.5bp
Best estimate falls by€531.8m
Own funds€9,831.8m
Ratio (SCR held at €5,000m)196.6%

Illustrative: the book applies no VA. The same spread is used for both designs; from 2027 the risk correction itself also changes (Delegated Regulation 2026/269, Art 51). The SCR effects of the measures are not modelled.

Worked example

The VA on RiskAtoms Insurance SE, today and from 2027

€ millions, 31 December 2025, illustrative RCS 30bp, SCR held at €5,000m, before tax. illustrative

From a spread to a solvency ratio

Step 1 of 6
  1. 1

    Today's VA

    VA=65%×30bp=19.5bp\text{VA} = 65\% \times 30\text{bp} = 19.5\text{bp}

Firms using these measures disclose the effect of removing each of them in their SFCR (Art 51(1a); for the transitionals, Arts 308c(4) and 308d(5)) and assess it in the ORSA (Art 45(2a)).

Regulatory lens

Directive 2009/138/EC Arts 77a–77e, 45(2a), 51 and 308c–308e, as amended by Directive (EU) 2025/2 from 30 January 2027; Delegated Regulation (EU) 2026/269. Status as at 4 November 2026 as at 4 Nov 2026.

In the EU

EU from 2027 The new VA (85% × CSSR × RCS, a macro-economic component, a supervisory power to stop it, an undertaking-specific adjustment up to 105%) and a new Art 45(2b) asking VA users to assess how their risk profile deviates from the VA's assumptions. A group life contract can be treated as a single contract for the MA (Art 77b(1)). The transitionals still end on 1 January 2032, and a new ground for a capital add-on covers a firm on transitionals that fails its SCR without a phasing-in plan or annual report (Art 37). The risk correction is recalibrated in 2026/269 Art 51.

In the UK

UK The MA reform took effect on 30 June 2024 (PS10/24, 6 June 2024): assets with highly predictable cash flows may enter MA portfolios, their benefit capped at 10% of the portfolio's MA; the cap on the MA from sub-investment grade assets can be removed; in-payment income protection and group dependants' annuities are eligible; firms attest each year that their fundamental spread covers the risks they keep. The TMTP uses a simplified recalculation and must amortise to zero by 1 January 2032 (PS2/24). More in L4.6.13: Solvency UK and global standards.

Spark Atoms

Spark AtomHow much the measures were worth across Europe
EIOPA's 2020 report on the LTG measures (published 3 December 2020) counted 651 insurers in 21 countries using the VA, and 136 in 11 countries using the transitional on technical provisions. Their average SCR ratio was 247%; without the measures it would have been 204%.
Spark AtomWhy the MA is worth twice the VA here
The VA lifts the rate on all €50,922m of liabilities by 19.5bp; the MA lifts only the annuities, €19,928m, but by 75bp, and annuities are the book's longest cash flows. Duration multiplies the spread: €1,303.7m against €531.8m.

Key takeaways

  • The MA adds the assets' spread less a fundamental spread to the rate for a ring-fenced, cash-flow-matched block of predictable liabilities (Arts 77b–77c); it cannot be combined with the VA on the same obligations.
  • The VA is 65% of a risk-corrected spread today and 85% × CSSR × RCS from 30 January 2027: on an illustrative 30bp, 19.5bp and 24.9bp, worth €531.8m and €674.2m of own funds.
  • An adjustment works through discounting: ΔOF ≈ BE (1 − e^(−D·adj)). On the book, the MA on the annuities is worth €1,303.7m (ratio 212.1%).
  • The transitionals (Arts 308c–308d) fall by 1/16 a year to nil on 1 January 2032; during 2027, 31.25% remains.
  • Users show their solvency with and without each measure in the ORSA and disclose the effect of removing it in the SFCR.

Reaction

Check what stuck

Question 1 · objective 2

Under the rule in force until 29 January 2027, what is the currency VA, in basis points, if the risk-corrected spread is 40bp?

bp

Question 2 · objective 1

An MA portfolio's assets yield 120bp over the risk-free rate and the fundamental spread is 45bp. What is the MA, in basis points?

bp

Question 3 · objective 1

RiskAtoms applies the MA to its annuities. Can it also apply the VA to the same annuities?

Question 4 · objective 3

What share of the original transitional deduction may an insurer still apply during 2027, in %?

%

Question 5 · objective 4

What must an insurer using the VA do in its ORSA?

Glossary

LTG measures
Long-term guarantee (LTG) measures: the adjustments to the risk-free rate and the extrapolation rules that Directive 2014/51/EU (Omnibus II) added for business with long-term guarantees: the matching adjustment, the volatility adjustment and the extrapolation to the ultimate forward rate.
Matching adjustment (MA)
Matching adjustment (MA): an addition to the risk-free rate for a ring-fenced block of predictable liabilities backed by assets held to maturity whose fixed cash flows replicate them: the assets' spread less a fundamental spread for default and downgrade (Directive Arts 77b–77c).
Fundamental spread
Fundamental spread: the part of a bond's spread that pays for the insurer's retained risk of default and downgrade. It is not passed into the MA, and may not be below 30% (Member States' central governments and central banks) or 35% (other assets) of the long-term average spread (Art 77c(2)).
Volatility adjustment (VA)
Volatility adjustment (VA): an addition to the risk-free rate for all eligible liabilities, based on the spread of a reference portfolio of assets, so that short-lived spread moves do not flow fully into own funds (Art 77d).
Risk-corrected spread
Risk-corrected spread: the reference portfolio's spread over the risk-free rate less the part that pays for expected defaults and other credit risk.
CSSR
Credit spread sensitivity ratio (CSSR): from 2027, the ratio of how much the insurer's assets move with spreads to how much its best estimate moves with rates, between 0 and 1; it scales the VA to the insurer's own position (Art 77d as amended).
Transitional on the risk-free rate
Transitional measure on the risk-free rate: for contracts written before 2016, discounting partly at the old Solvency I rate, the part falling to nil on 1 January 2032 (Art 308c).
Transitional on technical provisions (TMTP)
Transitional deduction on technical provisions (TMTP): a deduction of part of the excess of Solvency II provisions over Solvency I provisions at 1 January 2016, falling linearly to nil on 1 January 2032 (Art 308d).

Deep Dives & Origins

Deep Dives

Origins

  • European Parliament and Council, Directive 2009/138/EC, Arts 77b, 77c, 77d, 308c and 308d (text as at 31 December 2020, legislation.gov.uk), and Art 45 as adopted.
  • European Parliament and Council, Directive (EU) 2025/2 of 27 November 2024, Art 1 points amending Arts 37, 45, 77a, 77b and 77d (LawPlayer copy of the Official Journal text).
  • European Commission, Delegated Regulation (EU) 2026/269, Art 46a (phasing-in of the extrapolation), LawPlayer copy.
  • EIOPA, EIOPA publishes ultimate forward rate (UFR) for 2027, 30 March 2026.
  • EIOPA, EIOPA publishes its fifth annual analysis on the use and impact of long-term guarantees measures and measures on equity risk, 3 December 2020.
  • Prudential Regulation Authority, PS10/24 Review of Solvency II: Reform of the Matching Adjustment, 6 June 2024; PS2/24, 28 February 2024.

Watch this lesson

Video version

Prefer to watch? The same lesson as a 12-minute video will sit here, made from this page's script.