Core Path · L4.5.02

The LCR: outflows and inflows

12 minLCRRun-off ratesInflow capLCR40

By the end you will be able to

  1. 1Assign each funding source its LCR40 run-off rate: stable and less stable retail, operational and non-operational wholesale, secured funding.
  2. 2Count committed facilities and derivative and collateral outflows, including the downgrade window and the historical look-back.
  3. 3Apply inflow rates and the 75% cap to reach total net cash outflows with summation notation and a min.
  4. 4Run the bank's LCR through a downgrade, a deposit run and a higher outflow category, and say what the rules expect when the stock is used.

Why it matters

RiskAtoms Bank holds £22,000m of insured current accounts. In the LCR they weigh £1,100m. It holds £2,400m of deposits from banks and funds due within the month, and they weigh £2,400m: more than all three retail lines together. The denominator of the LCR is a table of rates, one per kind of money, and the table decides which funding a bank can afford. This lesson reads it row by row.

Core explanation

A rate for every kind of money

Illustrative dataRiskAtoms Bank plc's liquidity book, under the rules

The same made-up UK bank as Level 3: a £67bn balance sheet at 31 December 2025, in £ millions, with every line's maturity, HQLA level, LCR rate and NSFR factor. Module 3.5 computed an LCR of 157.4% and an NSFR of 146.7% from it, in simplified form; those stay the bank's booked figures. Module 4.5 rebuilds both ratios line by line from the rule text, using Module 4.1's split of the securities lines, and shows where the rules give a different number and why. Where a page adds an assumption of its own, it is labelled illustrative.

Outflows and inflows are the Level 3 book's, line by line; every rate it uses matches the Basel rate for the category it gives the line. The what-ifs start from the booked stock of £13,700m.

L3.5.07: LCR and NSFR in practice computed the denominator once. Here each line meets its paragraph in LCR40, with the condition that puts it there:

Funding or commitmentBaseRateOutflowRule
Stable retail deposits (insured current accounts)22,0005%1,100LCR40.6-40.7
Less stable retail deposits (instant-access savings)10,00010%1,000LCR40.13
Retail fixed-term deposits30010%30LCR40.13, 40.16-40.17
Operational deposits from companies (payments and cash management)5,00025%1,250LCR40.26, 40.31
Other corporate deposits4,20040%1,680LCR40.40
Deposits from banks and other financial institutions2,400100%2,400LCR40.42
Repo funding secured on gilts1,5000%0LCR40.48
Commercial paper and certificates of deposit700100%700LCR40.42
Undrawn committed credit facilities to companies8,00010%800LCR40.64
Undrawn liquidity facilities to companies (commercial paper back-up lines)50030%150LCR40.64
Undrawn committed facilities to other banks30040%120LCR40.64
Undrawn retail limits (cards, overdrafts, mortgage offers)3,0005%150LCR40.64
Extra derivative collateral after a three-notch downgrade400100%400LCR40.51
Largest 30-day net collateral outflow in the past two years300100%300LCR40.56
Total outflows10,080

Retail deposits

A stable deposit runs off at 5%; the supervisor may allow 3% where the deposit insurance scheme is prefunded, can raise more money quickly and pays out fast (LCR40.11). Every other retail deposit runs at 10% or more, and supervisors are told to build higher buckets for the riskier ones (LCR40.13). Fixed-term deposits are outflows only if they fall due within 30 days, or if the customer can withdraw early without a significant penalty (LCR40.16–40.17): of the bank's £6,000m of retail term deposits, only £300m count. Retail in all: £2,130m, 21% of outflows from 60% of the liabilities.

Wholesale deposits

An operational deposit runs at 25% because the company cannot move its payroll or cash management overnight (LCR40.26); a bank that places such a deposit elsewhere counts a 0% inflow on it (LCR40.31). The part fully covered by deposit insurance may run at the stable retail rate (LCR40.36). The book keeps all £5,000m at 25%: conservative. Other deposits from companies run at 40% (LCR40.40): £4,200m of the bank's £5,500m fall due or can be withdrawn within 30 days. Money from banks, funds and other financial firms, and the bank's own paper falling due, run at 100% (LCR40.42–40.43). Together £3,100m, 31% of all outflows.

Secured funding

When a repo matures in a stress, the question is whether the collateral would raise the money again. The rate follows the collateral (LCR40.48): 0% on Level 1 or with a central bank, 15% on Level 2A, 25% on RMBS and on domestic sovereign lenders, 50% on other Level 2B, 100% on anything else. The bank's £1,500m of gilt repo runs at 0%; the same repo on BBB bonds would cost £750m.

Facilities, derivatives and collateral

Undrawn committed lines are drawn at rates that rise with the customer's access to other money (LCR40.64): 5% for retail, 10% (credit) or 30% (liquidity) for companies, 40% for banks, up to 100% for liquidity lines to other financial firms. Lines the bank can cancel at any time are not commitments; they fall under other contingent funding at a rate the supervisor sets (LCR40.67, 40.73). The book keeps all £3,000m of retail limits at 5%, though most are card and overdraft limits of that kind.

Derivatives and collateral bring several more outflows (LCR40.49–40.58). Five matter here, and the bank has two:

OutflowRuleRiskAtoms Bank
Net derivative cash outflows due in 30 days, at 100%LCR40.49None modelled
Collateral a downgrade of up to and including three notches would call, at 100%LCR40.51400
20% of non-Level 1 collateral posted, for its fall in valueLCR40.52None posted
Largest net 30-day collateral flow in 24 monthsLCR40.56300
Own covered bonds and ABS maturing in 30 days, at 100%LCR40.57None due

Sort itWhat run-off rate?

Pick the Basel rate for each source of funding, then check.

  • A household's insured current account, used for salary and bills

  • An internet-only savings account paying a top rate

  • A retailer's deposit held for payroll and supplier payments through the bank's cash management

  • A manufacturer's spare cash, on call, with no service attached

  • A money market fund's overnight deposit

  • Commercial paper the bank issued, maturing in three weeks

  • A 2-week repo borrowing secured on gilts

Inflows, and the 75% cap

Only contractual inflows due within 30 days from loans that are performing count, and the bank is assumed to keep lending (LCR40.86–40.87): retail and corporate repayments at 50%, money due from banks at 100%. Reverse repos on Level 1 count 0%, because the bank is assumed to roll them (LCR40.78). Bonds already in the stock cannot count again as inflows when they mature (LCR40.4, 40.88).

AssetDue in 30 daysRateInflowRule
Reverse repos with banks, secured on gilts2,6000%0LCR40.78
Unsecured placements with banks1,000100%1,000LCR40.87
Residential mortgages15050%75LCR40.86
Loans to companies50050%250LCR40.87
Personal loans and credit cards10050%50LCR40.86
Total inflows1,375

The inflow cap lets inflows offset at most 75% of outflows (LCR40.77), here £7,560m. The bank's £1,375m is far below it: inflows would have to be 5.5 times larger before the cap bit. It is written for banks with large short-term loans to other banks, whose LCR would otherwise rest on money owed by the very institutions in trouble.

Three what-ifs

What happensStockNet outflowsLCR
Booked13,7008,705157.4%
Three-notch downgrade: £400m posted, next three notches £250m (assumed)13,3008,655153.7%
£2bn leaves instant-access savings11,7008,505137.6%
UK/EU: £3bn of savings in a higher outflow category at 15%13,7008,855154.7%

The downgrade is the subtle one illustrative. The £400m the bank posts leaves the stock, and the window moves: LCR40.51 now asks for whatever the next three notches would call, assumed at £250m. The £400m just posted is now the largest 30-day collateral flow of the past two years, so the look-back outflow rises from £300m to £400m. The ratio falls from 157.4% to 153.7%.

Using the stock in stress

Follow the run on instant-access savings further. Each £1 that leaves takes £1 out of the stock but only 10p out of outflows, so the ratio falls quickly:

At £5,550m the LCR touches 100%; at £7,000m it is 83.7%. That is what the stock is for. The Basel text says that during a stress “it would be entirely appropriate for banks to use their stock of HQLA”, falling below 100% (LCR20.5), and that supervisors should respond according to the cause, size, duration and frequency of the shortfall (LCR20.6). A ratio that is never allowed to fall is a buffer nobody can use.

The formal version

For outflow lines ii with balances BiB_i and rates rir_i, and contractual inflows AjA_j due within 30 days with inflow rates qjq_j (LCR20.5, LCR40.1, 40.77):

Outflows=∑iri Bi,Inflows=∑jqj AjNCO=Outflows−min⁡(Inflows, 75%×Outflows)LCR=Stock of HQLANCO ≥ 100%\begin{aligned} \text{Outflows} &= \sum_i r_i\,B_i, \qquad \text{Inflows} = \sum_j q_j\,A_j \\ \text{NCO} &= \text{Outflows} - \min\big(\text{Inflows},\ 75\% \times \text{Outflows}\big) \\ \text{LCR} &= \frac{\text{Stock of HQLA}}{\text{NCO}} \ \ge\ 100\% \end{aligned}
  • BiB_i is the whole balance for deposits a customer can withdraw within 30 days, the amount falling due within 30 days for term funding, and the undrawn amount for a facility (M-A08: Summation notation).
  • The min is the cap (M-A11: Min, max, floors and caps): because of it, NCO is never less than a quarter of outflows.
  • A deposit run of DD on a line with rate rr, paid from the stock, moves the ratio to (H−D) / (NCO−rD)(H - D)\,/\,(\text{NCO} - rD) while the cap does not bind; it reaches 100% at D=(H−NCO)/(1−r)D = (H - \text{NCO})/(1 - r).

Try it

Run each lever on its own first. Drain the instant-access savings until the ratio touches 100%; switch the same run to stable deposits and see it take a little less, £5,258m, which falls between two steps of the slider: 100.1% at £5,250m and 99.5% at £5,300m. Trigger the downgrade. Then push the extra inflows up and watch the cap start to bind at 75% of outflows: after that, more inflows do nothing.

Try itStress the LCR one lever at a time

Deposits that run

Three-notch downgrade happens

LCR157.4%
Surplus over 100%£4,995m
Inflows£1,375m
75% of outflows£7,560m
Inflow capdoes not bind
Run counted£0m at 10%

Illustrative, £ millions, on the booked stock of £13,700m. A run takes the full amount out of reserves but only the run-off rate times the amount out of outflows, because the balance left behind is smaller. The downgrade posts £400m from reserves, adds an assumed £250m for the next three notches and lifts the look-back outflow to the £400m just realised. Extra inflows are assumed funded beyond 30 days, so the stock does not change. Below 100% is allowed in a stress (LCR20.5).

Worked example

RiskAtoms Bank's net cash outflows

£ millions at 31 December 2025, 30-day horizon. Every input is in the Level 3 book.

From balances to the ratio

Step 1 of 6
  1. 1

    Retail deposits

    5%×22,000+10%×10,000+10%×300=1,100+1,000+30=£2,130m5\% \times 22{,}000 + 10\% \times 10{,}000 + 10\% \times 300 = 1{,}100 + 1{,}000 + 30 = \text{£}2{,}130\text{m}

Regulatory lens

The base is LCR40 (cash outflows and inflows) and LCR20 (the ratio and its use in stress) of the Basel Framework, in force since 15 December 2019. Statements on jurisdictions are as at 3 November 2026 as at 3 Nov 2026.

In the UK

The outflow and inflow articles of the onshored Delegated Regulation 2015/61, now in the PRA's Liquidity Coverage Ratio (CRR) Part, follow Basel for the bank's lines: stable retail 5% (Art 24), other retail 10% (Art 25(1)), operational deposits 25% with the insured part at 5% (Art 27), non-financial corporates 40% (Art 28(1)), facilities at 5%, 10%, 30% and 40% (Art 31), and the 75% inflow cap (Art 33(1)). Two additions: retail deposits with risk features go into higher outflow categories (Art 25(2)–(3)), and the collateral look-back follows Delegated Regulation 2017/208 (Art 30(3)). In a stress the PRA expects firms to draw down their buffers as needed, to tell it without delay if they fall below their guidance, and to rebuild over a reasonable period (SS24/15).

In the EU

Delegated Regulation 2015/61 has the same articles. Delegated Regulation 2017/208 sets the look-back as “the largest absolute net 30-day collateral flow realised during the 24 months preceding the date of calculation” (Art 2), netted only within a master netting agreement. Specialised lenders may cap inflows at 90% instead of 75%, and some intragroup inflows can be exempted (Arts 20 and 33). Credit card and overdraft limits are assessed by the bank and given rates by the supervisor (Art 23).

In the US

Silicon Valley Bank was not subject to the LCR or the NSFR when it failed in March 2023, as the Federal Reserve's Vice Chair for Supervision told the Senate Banking Committee on 28 March 2023.

Disclosure: banks publish their LCR every quarter in template LIQ1 (DIS85), as simple averages of daily observations over the quarter, with the number of data points used.

Spark Atoms

Spark AtomA month's run in a day
On Thursday 9 March 2023, depositors took more than $40 billion out of Silicon Valley Bank, and the bank said it expected more the next day (Federal Reserve testimony, 28 March 2023). The LCR's rates describe 30 days. A bank whose depositors are few, connected and uninsured can lose a month of stressed outflows before lunch; that is why the rates for uninsured, non-operational and financial money are as high as they are.
Spark AtomWhy repayments count only half
A borrower who repays £100 in the month brings in only £50 in the LCR (LCR40.86). The rule assumes the bank keeps lending to its customers in the stress, because a bank that stopped would damage its franchise. Money due from banks counts in full: the rule expects the bank to stop lending to them.

Key takeaways

  • Run-off rates follow the category of funding: stable retail 5% (or 3%), less stable at least 10%, operational 25%, non-financial corporates 40%, financial institutions 100% (LCR40).
  • Secured funding runs off according to its collateral: 0% on Level 1 up to 100% on non-HQLA (LCR40.48).
  • Derivatives add the downgrade window of three notches at 100% (LCR40.51) and the largest net 30-day collateral flow of the past 24 months (LCR40.56).
  • NCO = Σ r_i B_i − min(Σ q_j A_j, 75% × Σ r_i B_i): inflows never cover more than three quarters of outflows.
  • RiskAtoms Bank: outflows £10,080m, inflows £1,375m (cap £7,560m not binding), NCO £8,705m. A downgrade gives 153.7%, a £2bn savings run 137.6%; using the stock below 100% in a stress is what it is for (LCR20.5).

Reaction

Check what stuck

Question 1 · objective 3

A bank's stressed outflows over 30 days are £10,000m and its stressed inflows £8,000m. What are its total net cash outflows, in £m?

£m

Question 2 · objective 4

£1bn leaves RiskAtoms Bank's instant-access savings (run-off 10%) and is paid out of reserves. Starting from HQLA of £13,700m and outflows of £10,080m (inflows £1,375m), what is the new LCR, in % (one decimal)?

%

Question 3 · objective 2

Under LCR40.51, which collateral outflow must a bank count for its own rating?

Question 4 · objective 4

How much of RiskAtoms Bank's stable retail deposits (run-off 5%) could leave, paid out of reserves, before its booked LCR reached 100%, in £m?

£m

Question 5 · objective 4

In a real stress, RiskAtoms Bank's LCR falls to 95%. What does the Basel text say?

Glossary

Run-off rate
Run-off rate: the share of a funding balance the LCR assumes leaves within the 30-day stress. It is set by the category of funding, not by the bank's own experience.
Stable deposit
Stable deposit: a retail deposit fully covered by an effective deposit insurance scheme and held in a transactional account or by a customer with an established relationship (LCR40.7). Insurance alone is not enough (LCR40.10).
Operational deposit
Operational deposit: a deposit a company keeps for clearing, custody or cash management, where it depends substantively on the bank (LCR40.26). Only the amount needed for those services qualifies.
Historical look-back approach
Historical look-back approach: the outflow for collateral calls from market moves on derivatives is the largest absolute net 30-day collateral flow of the previous 24 months (LCR40.56).
Inflow cap
Inflow cap: inflows may offset at most 75% of total outflows (LCR40.77), so at least a quarter of stressed outflows is always met from the stock of HQLA.
Total net cash outflows (NCO)
Total net cash outflows (NCO): stressed outflows over 30 calendar days less inflows, with inflows capped at 75% of outflows (LCR40.1).
Higher outflow category
Higher outflow category (UK and EU, Art 25): retail deposits with risk features, such as a large balance (above €500,000 in the EU text), internet-only access or a rate well above the market, run at 10–15% or 15–20% instead of 10%.

Deep Dives & Origins

Deep Dives

Origins

  • Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, LCR40: Cash inflows and outflows, paras 40.1–40.93, version in force from 15 December 2019, bis.org.
  • Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, LCR20: Calculation, paras 20.1–20.6, bis.org.
  • Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, DIS85: Liquidity, templates LIQA, LIQ1 and LIQ2 (Swiss SIF copy).
  • Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2015/61, Title III, Arts 24–33, as onshored in the UK at 31 December 2020 (legislation.gov.uk), and consolidated version of 8 July 2022 (EUR-Lex).
  • Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2017/208 on additional liquidity outflows for collateral needs on derivatives, Arts 1–2 (legislation.gov.uk copy of the Official Journal text).
  • Prudential Regulation Authority, SS24/15 The PRA's approach to supervising liquidity and funding risks, January 2026 (PS4/26).
  • Michael S. Barr, Bank oversight (testimony), Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, 28 March 2023 (federalreserve.gov).

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