Core Path · L1.2.06

Hedge funds and private markets

12 minHedge fundsPrivate marketsLeverage

By the end you will be able to

  1. 1Explain how leverage magnifies a fund's gains and losses, and calculate its effect.
  2. 2Describe the common hedge fund strategies and what can go wrong with each.
  3. 3Explain how a private equity fund works: partners, capital calls, buyouts and fees.
  4. 4Describe private credit and why it has grown.

Why it matters

In 1998 the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management held positions worth about 25 times its own capital. At that leverage, a 4% fall in its assets would wipe it out. Within weeks of Russia's debt default, it nearly was, and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York gathered its lenders to take it over.

Core explanation

Borrowed money, bold strategies, private deals

Mutual funds and ETFs (L1.2.04) are built for the public, so their rules are strict: limited borrowing, daily dealing, wide diversification. Hedge funds and private market funds are built for professional investors such as pension funds, endowments and wealthy families. In exchange for fewer protections, they can do much more.

Hedge funds. A hedge fund can sell short, use derivatives, and use leverage. The name comes from the first such fund, which “hedged” its bets on some shares by selling others short. Today many do not hedge much at all. Traditionally they charged “2 and 20”: a 2% yearly management fee plus 20% of profits, though average fees have come down.

Leverage, in plain words. Buy a house for 100 with 20 of your own money and 80 borrowed. If the price rises 10%, your 20 becomes 30: a 50% gain. If it falls 20%, your 20 is gone (-100%). Leverage multiplies results in both directions, and the lender gets paid first.

Five common strategies. Guess the bet, then reveal it.

Private equity. Private equity (PE) funds buy companies, improve them, and sell them, usually over three to seven years. The best-known deal is the leveraged buyout (LBO): the fund pays for a company partly with debt, which the company itself then repays from its cash flow. Venture capital, which backs young start-ups, is the same model at the other end of a company's life.

A PE fund is a partnership. The manager is the general partner (GP). Investors are limited partners (LPs): they promise, or commit, a sum at the start, and hand it over only when the GP makes a capital call. The GP earns a management fee plus carried interest, its share of the profits.

TimelineThe life of a private equity fund

1 / 5

Year 0

Fundraising

LPs commit money, for example $1 billion in total. Nothing is paid in yet. The fund will usually last about ten years.

Private credit. Private credit funds lend directly to companies, mostly mid-sized ones, often to back PE buyouts. After the 2008 crisis, tougher capital rules made some of this lending less attractive for banks, and funds filled the gap. The loans usually pay a floating rate and are held to maturity rather than traded. The market has grown to well over a trillion US dollars, spread across the US, Europe and Asia-Pacific.

Where the risks sit. Leverage turns small losses into large ones. Private assets are illiquid: they cannot be sold quickly, and their values are estimates made a few times a year, which can hide losses. And because these funds borrow from banks and prime brokers (L1.2.02), a large fund in trouble can pass its losses on to the banking system.

The formal version

Leverage LL is assets divided by equity. Let rAr_A be the return on the assets and rDr_D the interest rate on the borrowing, both over the same period.

From the result, two lines tell you when the equity is wiped out (a return of −100%):

L×rA−(L−1)×rD=−1L \times r_A - (L - 1) \times r_D = -1
rA=(L−1) rD−1L  ≈  −1Lwhen rD is smallr_A = \frac{(L - 1)\, r_D - 1}{L} \;\approx\; -\frac{1}{L} \quad \text{when } r_D \text{ is small}

In words

At 2× a 50% fall wipes you out; at 10×, a 10% fall; at 25×, a 4% fall.

Try it

At 3× leverage, a 5% asset return borrowed at 4% gives the equity 7%. Flip the asset return to -5% and the equity loses 23%. Now raise leverage towards 25× and watch the line steepen until small moves wipe out the fund.

Try itLeverage lab

3.0×
5.0%
4.00%
Borrowed per 1 of equity2.0
Return on equity7.0%
Without leverage5.0%

An asset fall of 30.7% wipes out the equity.

Return on equity for every asset return your leverage no leverage
-100%-50%0%22%-10%-5%0%5%10%

Worked example

A leveraged buyout, up and down

A PE fund buys a company for $1,000m, paying $400m of its LPs' money and borrowing $600m at 8% a year. The company's cash flow pays the interest and repays $30m of debt each year. After 5 years the fund sells. Amounts are in US$ millions; returns are annualised with yearly compounding (L1.2.04).

Following the money

Step 1 of 5
  1. 1

    Five years of debt service

    Interest paid over the five years: $216m. Debt repaid: $150m, leaving $450m owed.

Regulatory lens

Hedge funds and private funds are regulated mostly through their managers, and through rules on who may invest, rather than through limits on what the funds may hold.

  • United States: since the Dodd-Frank Act, most advisers to private funds register with the SEC and report on their funds, including leverage, on Form PF.
  • European Union: the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD) licenses managers, requires a depositary and leverage reporting, and lets supervisors cap leverage. A 2024 revision adds rules for funds that make loans.
  • United Kingdom and Asia-Pacific: the FCA, Hong Kong's SFC, the Monetary Authority of Singapore and Japan's FSA license fund managers and restrict sales to professional investors.
  • Global: the Financial Stability Board (L1.2.09) watches leverage outside banks, and Basel rules make banks hold capital against their lending to funds.

Looking ahead: counterparty risk on prime brokerage and the wider risks of non-bank finance return in later levels.

Sparks

SparkThe first hedge fund
In 1949 Alfred Winslow Jones, a writer and sociologist, set up a fund that bought shares he liked and sold short shares he did not, using some borrowed money, and took 20% of profits as his fee. Most hedge funds still trace their structure to his.
SparkTwo Nobel laureates and a near miss
LTCM's partners included Robert Merton and Myron Scholes, who won the 1997 Nobel Prize in economics for their work on pricing options. A year later the fund nearly failed. Clever models do not protect a highly leveraged fund from markets that move further than the models expect.

Key takeaways

  • Hedge funds and private funds serve professional investors and can borrow, sell short and hold illiquid assets.
  • With leverage L, the equity return is L × r_A − (L − 1) × r_D; a fall of about 1/L in the assets wipes out the equity.
  • Common hedge fund strategies: long/short equity, global macro, event-driven, relative value and managed futures.
  • Private equity funds are partnerships: LPs commit money, the GP calls it, buys companies (often with debt), and takes carried interest.
  • Private credit funds lend directly to companies and have grown as banks pulled back after 2008.

Reaction

Check what stuck

Question 1 · objective 1

A fund runs leverage of 4×. Its assets return 6% in a year and it borrows at 5%. What is the return on its equity, in %?

%

Question 2 · objective 1

A fund is leveraged 10× and pays no interest on its borrowing. By what percentage must its assets fall to wipe out its equity?

%

Question 3 · objective 2

A fund buys shares in a company being taken over and waits for the deal to close. Which strategy is this?

Question 4 · objective 3

In a private equity fund, who are the limited partners?

Question 5 · objective 4

Why has private credit grown since the 2008 crisis?

Glossary

Hedge fund
A lightly restricted pooled fund for professional and wealthy investors that can borrow, sell short and use derivatives.
Leverage
Using borrowed money (or derivatives) so that a fund controls more assets than its own capital.
Short selling
Selling a borrowed security in the hope of buying it back cheaper later.
Private equity
Funds that buy whole companies, or large stakes in them, that are not listed on a stock exchange.
Leveraged buyout
Buying a company with a large share of borrowed money, repaid from the company's own cash flow.
General partner (GP)
General partner: the firm that runs a private fund and makes its decisions.
Limited partner (LP)
Limited partner: an investor in a private fund, such as a pension fund or endowment. Its loss is limited to what it commits.
Capital call
A request from the general partner for investors to pay in part of the money they committed.
Carried interest
Carried interest: the general partner's share of a fund's profits, often 20%.
J-curve
The pattern of a private fund's returns: negative in early years (fees, no exits yet), then rising.
Private credit
Loans made directly by funds to companies, mostly mid-sized ones, rather than by banks or through bonds.
Multiple
Money returned divided by money invested. 2× means you doubled your money.

Deep Dives & Origins

Deep Dives

  • Lowenstein, When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management, Random House, 2000. Beginner.
  • Mallaby, More Money Than God: Hedge Funds and the Making of a New Elite, Penguin Press, 2010. Beginner.
  • International Monetary Fund, Global Financial Stability Report, April 2024, chapter 2 on private credit. Intermediate.

Origins

  • President's Working Group on Financial Markets, Hedge Funds, Leverage, and the Lessons of Long-Term Capital Management, April 1999.
  • Directive 2011/61/EU (AIFMD) and Directive (EU) 2024/927 (its revision).
  • US SEC, Form PF and the private fund adviser registration rules under the Dodd-Frank Act.
  • Metrick and Yasuda, “The Economics of Private Equity Funds”, Review of Financial Studies 23(6), 2010.

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