Core Path · L1.1.01

Why financial markets exist

10 minMarketsFoundations

By the end you will be able to

  1. 1Explain how financial markets connect savers with borrowers, directly and through intermediaries, and how they spread risk.
  2. 2Explain why spreading money across many borrowers cuts the chance of a large loss but not the average loss.
  3. 3Name the other two jobs markets do: setting prices and letting investors sell when they need cash.
  4. 4Tell direct finance apart from indirect finance.

Why it matters

Somewhere today, a nurse's pension savings are paying for a wind farm on another continent. The nurse will never meet the wind farm's owners. Financial markets are the machinery that makes that possible, and every risk this course covers lives somewhere inside that machinery.

Core explanation

Two groups who need each other

Every economy has two groups. Savers have more money than they need right now: a family putting money aside, a pension fund, a company with spare cash. Borrowers want to spend more than they have right now: a young couple buying a home, a company building a factory, a government building a railway.

Each group can help the other. The saver earns something on money that would otherwise sit idle. The borrower gets to act now and pay later, out of the income the house, factory or railway brings.

Why they cannot just find each other. Picture Amira, who has £10,000 saved, and Tom, whose bakery needs £10,000 for a new oven. Even if they lived on the same street, four problems would get in the way:

  • Finding each other. Amira does not know Tom needs money, and Tom does not know Amira has it.
  • Trust. Amira cannot easily judge whether the bakery is well run.
  • Timing. Amira may want her money back in two years. The oven needs five years to pay for itself.
  • Risk. If the bakery fails, Amira loses everything she lent.

A financial market is any place or system where money and promises to pay are traded. Together with financial intermediaries such as banks, insurers and funds, markets solve all four problems. Money can travel by two kinds of route:

Direct finance

The borrower sells securities, such as bonds or shares, straight to savers.

Indirect finance

A bank or fund collects savers' money and decides where to lend or invest it.

In direct finance the saver holds a security: a tradable claim on the borrower. In indirect finance the saver holds a claim on the intermediary, such as a bank deposit. Click through the four routes below and compare what the saver ends up holding.

ExploreFour routes from savers to borrowers

Savers

Households, pension funds, firms with spare cash

money
deposit

Bank

Bank takes deposits and makes loans

money
promise to pay

Borrowers

Companies, governments, home buyers

The saver holds
A deposit: a claim on the bank, not on the borrower.
The borrower owes
The bank, under a loan agreement.
Who carries the risk
The bank carries the borrower's default risk first, backed by its own capital. Many countries also insure small deposits.
How the saver gets cash back
Withdraw the deposit, often on demand.

Job two: spreading risk

Amira lending all her savings to one bakery is fragile. If that one borrower defaults, she loses the lot. Markets let her lend a little to many borrowers instead, often through a bank or fund that does the spreading for her. This is diversification.

Spreading does something subtle. It does not change the average loss you should expect. It changes how bad a bad year can get. Try it: lend the same £10,000 to more and more borrowers.

ExploreSpread £10,000 across more borrowers

Each borrower has a 2% chance of not repaying, independently of the others, and a default loses that whole loan.

Number of borrowers:

Lent to each

£10,000

Average loss

£200

2.0% of the total

Chance of any default

2.0%

1-in-100 bad loss

£10,000

100.0% of the total

1-in-100 bad loss, as % of the total lentThe dashed line is the average loss, 2%, which is the same in every row.
1
100.0%
10
20.0%
100
6.0%
1,000
3.1%

Markets also let people pass a risk to someone better placed to carry it. An airline worried about fuel prices can lock in a price today with a trader who is happy to take the other side. A homeowner pays an insurer to take on the risk of fire. Risk does not disappear; it moves to whoever charges least to bear it.

Jobs three and four: prices and the exit door

When thousands of buyers and sellers trade, the price they settle on pools what all of them know. This is price discovery. A falling bond price tells everyone, at once, that investors have grown worried about the borrower. Lesson L1.1.06 shows how this works trade by trade.

Markets also give savers a way out. Tom's oven takes five years to pay for itself, but if Amira holds a bond rather than a private loan, she can sell it to another investor after two years. The ease of selling quickly at a fair price is called liquidity, and it is the subject of L1.1.07.

The four jobs of a financial market

  1. Move money from savers to borrowers, directly or through intermediaries.
  2. Spread risk, and move it to those best placed to carry it.
  3. Set prices that pool information from many people.
  4. Let investors turn their claims back into cash when they need to.

Sort itDirect or indirect finance?

0 of 5 right
  1. You deposit your salary in a bank, which lends it to a small business.

  2. A pension fund buys new bonds sold by the German government.

  3. You buy units in an index fund, which holds shares in 500 companies.

  4. An investor buys shares in a tech company on its first day of trading.

  5. An insurer invests the premiums it collects in corporate bonds.

Worked example

One loan or a hundred?

Amira has £10,000 to lend. Each borrower she could lend to has a 2% chance of not repaying, independently of the others, and a borrower who defaults repays nothing. Amounts are in pounds over one year. Try each step before revealing it.

Comparing one loan with a hundred

Step 1 of 6
  1. 1

    One loan of £10,000

    With 98% chance she gets everything back. With 2% chance she loses all £10,000.

Regulatory lens · looking ahead

Banks sit at the centre of indirect finance and hold ordinary people's deposits, so they are among the most tightly regulated firms in any economy. L1.2.01 looks at how a bank makes money and L1.2.09 at who supervises it. The Basel capital rules met in later levels exist to make sure a bank can absorb a bad year like the one in the worked example.

Sparks

SparkA share you could sell, from 1602
The Dutch East India Company (VOC), founded in 1602, raised money from the public and let its shareholders sell their shares to other investors in Amsterdam rather than wait for the company to pay them back. It is often described as the first company whose shares traded in a lasting public market, and it shows how old the “exit door” idea is.
SparkYou are probably on both sides
Someone with a mortgage and a workplace pension is a borrower and a saver at the same time. Their pension fund may even hold bonds issued by the bank that lent them the mortgage. The financial system is less a line from savers to borrowers than a web in which most of us sit at several points.

Key takeaways

  • Financial markets connect savers, who have spare money now, with borrowers, who want to spend now and pay later.
  • Money travels directly, when savers buy a borrower's securities, or indirectly, through banks, insurers and funds.
  • Spreading money across many independent borrowers leaves the average loss unchanged but makes a large loss far less likely.
  • Markets also move risk to those best placed to carry it, set prices that pool information, and let investors sell when they need cash.
  • Each of these jobs creates a risk that later lessons study: credit, market, liquidity and more.

Reaction

Check what stuck

Question 1 · objective 1

Which of these is indirect finance?

Question 2 · objective 2

You lend £10,000, split equally across 100 borrowers. Each has a 2% chance of not repaying, and a default loses that whole loan. What is your average loss, in £?

£

Question 3 · objective 2

What does spreading your lending across many independent borrowers mainly change?

Question 4 · objective 3

A market is described as liquid. What does that mean?

Question 5 · objective 4

A carmaker needs €500m for a new factory and sells new bonds to investors. Which route is this?

Glossary

Saver
A person or organisation with more money now than it needs to spend now.
Borrower
A person or organisation that wants to spend more now than it has, and promises to pay later.
Financial market
Any place or system where buyers and sellers trade money and financial claims.
Financial intermediary
A firm, such as a bank, insurer or fund, that stands between savers and borrowers.
Security
A tradable financial claim, such as a bond or a share.
Direct finance
Savers buy securities straight from the borrower, for example by buying its bonds or shares.
Indirect finance
Savers hand money to an intermediary, which then decides where to lend or invest it.
Default
A borrower's failure to pay what it promised, on time and in full.
Diversification
Spreading money across many investments so that no single failure hurts too much.
Price discovery
The way trading between many buyers and sellers settles on a price that reflects what they all know.
Liquidity
How quickly and cheaply something can be turned into cash without moving its price much.

Deep Dives & Origins

Deep Dives

  • Mishkin, The Economics of Money, Banking and Financial Markets, Pearson, the chapter “An Overview of the Financial System”. Beginner.
  • Petram, The World's First Stock Exchange, Columbia University Press, 2014. Beginner, history.

Origins

  • Mishkin, F. S., The Economics of Money, Banking and Financial Markets, Pearson.
  • Saunders, A. and Cornett, M. M., Financial Institutions Management: A Risk Management Approach, McGraw-Hill.
  • Petram, L. O., The World's First Stock Exchange, Columbia University Press, 2014.

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